Sterling set for third weekly loss vs. euro as outlook darkens

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Fri, 18 Aug 2017 - 11:06 GMT

BY

Fri, 18 Aug 2017 - 11:06 GMT

The new polymer 5 pound Sterling note featuring Sir Winston Churchill, is unveiled at Blenheim Palace in Oxfordshire, Britain June 2, 2016.
Joe Giddens/Pool

The new polymer 5 pound Sterling note featuring Sir Winston Churchill, is unveiled at Blenheim Palace in Oxfordshire, Britain June 2, 2016. Joe Giddens/Pool

LONDON - 18 August 2017: Britain's pound fell against the euro on Friday and was poised for a third consecutive week of losses as a global selloff in risky assets prompted investors to cut bets after a week of tepid U.K. data.

With growing market expectations that the Bank of England is unlikely to raise interest rates over the coming months due to Brexit-related risks and business uncertainty, the pound slipped towards a fresh 8-month low on a trade-weighted basis.

"This week's wages and retail sales data did little to alter the growing market belief that a U.K. rate hike is likely only in the second half of 2018 and with a thin data calendar for the next couple of weeks, the market will be rangebound," said Manuel Oliveri, an FX strategist at Credit Agricole in London.

One-year interest rate swaps have fallen nearly 8 basis points from a one-year high hit in late June to 26 basis points on Friday, indicating dwindling rate expectations.

Sterling was a touch lower against the single currency at 91.10 pence per euro as risk appetite took a beating across the board.

Against the dollar, sterling was a shade higher against the U.S. dollar largely due to broad greenback-related weakness across the board.

The disarray in the White House, with U.S. President Donald Trump’s economic agenda seen under threat, hammered U.S. stocks on Thursday and is the main driver for global equities on Friday.

Shares sold off in Asia and European investors have followed suit. The dollar is down against the yen and yields on low-risk German debt have fallen.

Noise around Britain's strategy for leaving Europe and the talks on the issue with Brussels have provided little positive for investors worried that the process is becoming increasingly chaotic and may do longer-term damage to the economy.

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